Metered, not modelled

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn and Middlesbrough roofs made much the same last year.

735 against 735 kWh per kWp at the median, from 103 and 87 real systems.

BB

Blackburn

735 median kWh per kWp

middle half 666–768 · 103 systems · 43rd of 49

TS

Middlesbrough

735 median kWh per kWp

middle half 645–779 · 87 systems · 44th of 49

Where the two actually overlap

Both areas, grouped by what each system made. The medians differ, but the shapes sit largely on top of one another — a good Middlesbrough roof beats a poor Blackburn one comfortably. Location moves the odds; it does not decide the outcome.

Blackburn: the middle half of 103 systems made 666–768 kWh per kWp. Middlesbrough: the middle half of 87 systems made 645–779 kWh per kWp.

Both figures are what real systems metered last year, so the gap mixes sunlight with system age, roof direction and shading. It is the difference in what people actually got, not a difference in sunshine alone.

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Output figures from openclimatefix/uk_pv (Hugging Face, CC-BY-4.0), collected by Sheffield Solar. How we measure.